Chapter 01 · Climate & transitionClimate & Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Carbon leakage
Definition
Carbon leakage is the risk that emissions are displaced rather than reduced when production, investment or demand shifts to places with weaker or different climate constraints.
References
This reference provides supporting context for how “Carbon leakage” is defined and used.
Overview
What it means in practice
Carbon leakage should be read as a decision term, not simply as a label. Its practical meaning depends on the boundary being assessed, the accounting or governance purpose, and the evidence used to support the claim.
In practice, users should ask what is being measured or governed, who is relying on the term, and what would change if the term were applied differently. That discipline keeps carbon leakage from becoming a shorthand that hides assumptions.
Why it matters
Climate terminology often moves between strategy, finance, risk management and public claims. Carbon leakage matters because the same phrase can shape investment decisions, disclosure judgments and stakeholder expectations in different ways.
Common misconception
A common error is to treat carbon leakage as self-explanatory. The stronger approach is to state the scenario, timeframe, emissions boundary, asset class, sector or decision context that gives the term meaning.
Review questions
What boundary does the term cover? What evidence would prove or narrow the claim? Who could reasonably misunderstand the term if the context is not stated?
How it is used
The term appears in climate strategies, transition plans, emissions inventories, scenarios and investment decisions, where governments, companies, investors and technical teams use it to classify, assess or communicate the risk that emissions are displaced rather than reduced when production, investment or demand shifts to places with weaker or different climate constraints.
Its correct use depends on the relevant methodology, emissions boundary, baseline, timeframe and underlying data.